Sondaggi Gpg: Scenario 3 -> CDX +1% - Senato bloccato, CLN maggioranza relativa :

Il CDX sembra ancora in testa in questo rilevamento, il vantaggio è minimo alla Camera; al Senato, invece, non solo non raggiunge la maggioranza assoluta ma è anche lontano da quella relativa. In una situazione di questo tipo si andrebbe incontro ad un governo istituzionale; se il CLN vincesse alla Camera mancherebbe comunque la maggioranza al Senato, si aprirebbero però scenari parlamentari piuttosto foschi e impronosticabili.

DATI NAZIONALI

– partito o coalizione: percentuale [camera – senato]

– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 40,6% (-1,1%) [345 – 128]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 39,5% (+1,5%) [191 – 140]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 17,9% (-0,5%) [90 – 44]
– ALTRI: 2,0% (+0,2%) [4 – 3]

DATI REGIONALI

– partito o coalizione: percentuale [senatori]

Piemonte
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 42,0% [13]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 37,0% [6]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 19,5% [3]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]

Lombardia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 50,5% [26]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 32,0% [14]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 15,5% [7]
– ALTRI: 2,0% [0]

Veneto
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 52,0% [14]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 32,0% [7]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 13,0% [3]
– ALTRI: 3,0% [0]

Friuli Venezia Giulia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 44,5% [4]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 38,0% [2]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 15,5% [1]
– ALTRI: 2,0% [0]

Trentino Alto Adige

– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 24,0% [2]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 32,0% [3]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 14,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 30,0% [2]

Liguria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 39,5% [5]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 39,5% [2]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 19,5% [1]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]

Emilia Romagna
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 33,0% [6]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 45,5% [12]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 20,5% [3]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]

Toscana
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 27,0% [4]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 49,0% [10]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 22,5% [4]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]

Marche
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 35,0% [2]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 45,5% [5]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 18,5% [1]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]

Umbria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 32,5% [2]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 45,5% [4]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 21,0% [1]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]

Lazio
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 37,5% [8]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 42,5% [15]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 19,0% [4]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]

Abruzzo
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 37,5% [2]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 44,0% [4]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 17,5% [1]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]

Molise
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 38,0% [1]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 47,0% [1]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 14,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]

Campania

– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 39,5% [9]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 41,5 [17]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 17,5% [4]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]

Puglia

– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 39,0% [12]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 35,5 [6]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 24,5% [3]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]

Basilicata– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 27,5% [2]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 50,0% [4]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 21,0% [1]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]

Calabria

– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 40,0% [3]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 42,0% [6]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 18,0% [1]
– ALTRI: 0,0% [0]

Sicilia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 41,0% [8]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 44,5% [15]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 13,5% [3]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]

Sardegna
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): 36,5% [3]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): 41,0% [5]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): 19,5% [1]
– ALTRI: 3,0% [0]

Estero ed UV
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL): [2]
– CLN (PD, IDV, UDC, FEL, MPA, API, Soc.): [3]
– SX (SEL, M5S, Rad, FDS, Ver.): [1]
– ALTRI: [1]