Torniamo dopo 2 mesi con gli scenari Gpg.Il primo scenario offre uno scenario simile a quello del 2008 con una coalizione di CSX allargata.
Per la prima volta il CSX prevale ed otterrebbe anche una chiara maggioranza, seppur risicata al Senato.
Pochi i senatori raccolti dall’UDC, comunque più del 2008.
Forse un paio di eletti anche per il M5S.
Al Senato ballano comunque 4 senatori in Piemonte, senza i quali il CSX avrebbe una maggioranza del tutto analoga a quella di Prodi di 5 anni fa.
DATI NAZIONALI
– partito o coalizione: percentuale [camera – senato]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 43,8% (-1,7%) [245 – 139]
– UDC: 6,1% (-0,2%) [35 – 8]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 44,4% (+0,6%) [346 – 163]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,2% (+1,2%) [0 – 2]
– ALTRI: 1,6% (+0,1%) [4 – 3]
DATI REGIONALI
– partito o coalizione: percentuale [senatori]
Piemonte
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 43,5% [9]
– UDC: 4,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 45,0% [13]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 43,5% [9]
– UDC: 4,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 45,0% [13]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
Lombardia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 52,0% [27]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 38,0% [20]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 52,0% [27]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 38,0% [20]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
Veneto
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 54,0% [15]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 33,0% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 2,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 54,0% [15]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 33,0% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 2,5% [0]
Friuli Venezia Giulia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 48,0% [4]
– UDC: 5,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 40,0% [3]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 48,0% [4]
– UDC: 5,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 40,0% [3]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
Trentino Alto Adige
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 25,5% [1]
– UDC: 5,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 36,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 29,5% [2]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 25,5% [1]
– UDC: 5,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 36,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 29,5% [2]
Liguria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,5% [3]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Emilia Romagna
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 34,0% [7]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 53,5% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 8,0% [2]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 34,0% [7]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 53,5% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 8,0% [2]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Toscana
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 29,5% [6]
– UDC: 4,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 59,5% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 6,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 29,5% [6]
– UDC: 4,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 59,5% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 6,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Marche
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 37,0% [3]
– UDC: 6,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 50,5% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 37,0% [3]
– UDC: 6,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 50,5% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Umbria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 34,0% [3]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 54,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 34,0% [3]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 54,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Lazio
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 42,0% [12]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 46,5% [15]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 42,0% [12]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 46,5% [15]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Abruzzo
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 43,0% [3]
– UDC: 6,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 46,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 43,0% [3]
– UDC: 6,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 46,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Molise
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 44,0% [1]
– UDC: 9,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 45,0% [1]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 44,0% [1]
– UDC: 9,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 45,0% [1]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,0% [0]
Campania
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 42,0% [11]
– UDC: 8,5% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,0% [17]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 42,0% [11]
– UDC: 8,5% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,0% [17]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Puglia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 42,5% [7]
– UDC: 8,0% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,5% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– UDC: 8,0% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,5% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Basilicata
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 32,5% [2]
– UDC: 8,0% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 57,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 32,5% [2]
– UDC: 8,0% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 57,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Calabria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 42,0% [3]
– UDC: 10,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 46,0% [6]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 42,0% [3]
– UDC: 10,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 46,0% [6]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Sicilia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 54,0% [15]
– UDC: 9,5% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 34,5% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 54,0% [15]
– UDC: 9,5% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 34,5% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,0% [0]
Sardegna
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 38,0% [4]
– UDC: 7,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 4,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 38,0% [4]
– UDC: 7,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 4,0% [0]
Estero ed UV
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): [3]
– UDC: [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): [3]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: [0]
– ALTRI: [1]
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