Cominciamo oggi il giro dei scenari Gpg. Partiamo col primo, lo scenario 2008 con UDC in solitaria al centro dello schieramento e FLI in maggioranza.
Il CSX, passato in testa allo scorso rilevamento, allunga decisamente e complice un arretramento del CDX la forbice raggiunge quasi i 4 punti. Il CSX conferma la maggioranza al Senato, seppur risicata.
Il CDX esce sconfitto ovunque tranne che in 4 regioni: Lombardia, Veneto, Sicilia e FVG; in questa ultima regione il vantaggio è ormai risicato.
DATI NAZIONALI
– partito o coalizione: percentuale [camera – senato]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 42,2% (-1,6%) [245 – 138]
– UDC: 5,9% (-0,2%) [35 – 8]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 46,0% (+1,6%) [346 – 164]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,1% (-0,1%) [0 – 2]
– ALTRI: 1,8% (+0,2%) [4 – 3]
DATI REGIONALI
– partito o coalizione: percentuale [senatori]
Piemonte
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,5% [9]
– UDC: 4,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,0% [13]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,5% [9]
– UDC: 4,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,0% [13]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
Lombardia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 50,5% [26]
– UDC: 3,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 39,5% [21]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 2,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 50,5% [26]
– UDC: 3,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 39,5% [21]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 2,0% [0]
Veneto
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 51,5% [15]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 35,0% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 3,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 51,5% [15]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 35,0% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 3,0% [0]
Friuli Venezia Giulia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 45,5% [4]
– UDC: 5,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 42,5% [3]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 2,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 45,5% [4]
– UDC: 5,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 42,5% [3]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 2,0% [0]
Trentino Alto Adige
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 23,5% [1]
– UDC: 5,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 37,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 30,0% [2]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 23,5% [1]
– UDC: 5,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 37,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 30,0% [2]
Liguria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 39,5% [3]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 50,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 50,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Emilia Romagna
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 32,5% [7]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 55,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 7,5% [2]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 32,5% [7]
– UDC: 4,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 55,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 7,5% [2]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Toscana
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 28,0% [6]
– UDC: 4,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 61,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 28,0% [6]
– UDC: 4,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 61,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Marche
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 35,0% [3]
– UDC: 7,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 52,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 35,0% [3]
– UDC: 7,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 52,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 5,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Umbria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 32,5% [3]
– UDC: 5,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 56,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 32,5% [3]
– UDC: 5,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 56,5% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Lazio
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 40,5% [12]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [15]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 40,5% [12]
– UDC: 6,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [15]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 4,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Abruzzo
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,0% [3]
– UDC: 7,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,0% [3]
– UDC: 7,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 3,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,0% [0]
Molise
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,5% [1]
– UDC: 9,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,0% [1]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,5% [1]
– UDC: 9,0% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,0% [1]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Campania
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,0% [11]
– UDC: 8,5% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [17]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,0% [11]
– UDC: 8,5% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [17]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Puglia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 42,0% [7]
– UDC: 8,0% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– UDC: 8,0% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 48,0% [12]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Basilicata
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 30,0% [2]
– UDC: 8,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 59,0% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 30,0% [2]
– UDC: 8,5% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 59,0% [4]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 1,5% [0]
Calabria
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,0% [3]
– UDC: 10,0% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,5% [6]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 41,0% [3]
– UDC: 10,0% [1]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 47,5% [6]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 1,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,5% [0]
Sicilia
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 52,0% [15]
– UDC: 9,0% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 37,0% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 52,0% [15]
– UDC: 9,0% [2]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 37,0% [9]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,0% [0]
– ALTRI: 0,0% [0]
Sardegna
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 37,0% [4]
– UDC: 7,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 50,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 3,0% [0]
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): 37,0% [4]
– UDC: 7,5% [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): 50,0% [5]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: 2,5% [0]
– ALTRI: 3,0% [0]
Estero ed UV
– CDX (LD, LN, PDL, FLI, MPA): [3]
– UDC: [0]
– CSX (PD, Rad, IDV, Soc., Ver., SEL, FDS, Api): [3]
– MOV. 5 STELLE: [0]
– ALTRI: [1]
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